There
are many football bookies that are constantly improving their football prediction methods so that they can avoid paying out. However, with
knowledge and the right strategy you have the ability to detect
loopholes in the system. This does not appear to be a mammoth task.
There are ways to beat these bookies and win. The two common ways are
to analyze the match information that is non-measurable and another
is to enhance the models of statistical predictions created by these
bookmakers.
The
first method entails you to analyze data like priority and type of
match. This is generally not used in the statistical models. There
are some prominent trademarks that you should be aware of. These
trademarks influence the results and the outcome of a match that is
played.
The
match type can be a national or international league, cup or game.
The match can also be a friendly game. The profitable bets are always
on the final games or matches. It is here that the media selects the
hot favorites and the informed bettor can bet on the high priced
second best teams.
The
next important factor to consider is match priority. Every team needs
to define its own priority for the forthcoming matches, as the
resources are very limited. Some good examples of the top teams are
the European national Cups in the low priority game segments.
The
injuries, transfers and the illnesses of the players should also be
calculated as bookmaker’s odds before the information is available.
When it comes to the European Leagues, you will find that they are
predictable and unpredictable. The French, Spanish, Italian and
Norwegian leagues are considered to be predictable leagues. The
English and the German Leagues are predictable mostly at the start
and the end of the season.
There
are other influential factors like team managers, pitch conditions,
conditions of the weather and pure chance. It is evident that to
analyze all this information for all the matches is a complicated and
long task. The option is to deploy advanced statistical prediction
tools that contribute to an enhancement on the prediction models of
the bookies.
Now
the question arises as to how can their models will improved further
and why should it need to be done. It is very important for you to
analyze the predictions of bookies very carefully. When you do this,
you will find that the models of these bookies are based on the
average statistics. There are low odds that generally correspond to
teams that have very high table positions and vice versa.
From
the above it is clear that the preciseness of their models will
suffer when the skills of the teams change. It is important for you
to take into consideration the skill dynamics of the team that
enhances profits by placing bets on the second best teams.
There
is another thing you should note. The models of the bookmakers do not
distinguish between the defensive and the attacking strengths of the football teams and they also do not take into account the different
strategies that these teams embrace when they are playing in their
home fields or away. Football-Capper.com guarantees you once you learn how to distinguish the two, you
get an edge with your predictions.
